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The Determinants of Career Intent Among Physicians at a U.S. Air Force Hospital

James L. Price

Charles W. Mueller

Department of Sociology, University of Iowa, Iowa City, Iowa 52242.

Thomas W. Watson

Armstrong Laboratory, Brooks Air Force Base, Texas 78236-5601.

The research reported in this paper attempts to explain variation in career intent among physicians at a U.S. Air Force hospital. A causal model which comes from the research of Price-Mueller and their colleagues is used to explain career intent. The model is estimated with data collected from Wilford Hall Medical Center, the U.S. Air Force's tertiary-care center. Data were collected by questionnaires and from records. The variables are assessed with widely used organizational measures which are generally valid and reliable. Data are analyzed by ordinary least squares regression analysis. Seven variables are the most important in explaining career intent: organizational commitment, job satisfaction, search behavior, opportunity, met expectations, positive affectivity, and promotional chances. The causal model that has been tested primarily for female employees in civilian hospitals was found to operate just as well among male physicians in a military hospital. Forty-one percent of the variance in career intent is explained in this study.

Key Words: intent to stay • job satisfaction • organizational commitment • turnover

Human Relations, Vol. 49, No. 7, 947-976 (1996)
DOI: 10.1177/001872679604900704


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